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Police FC vs Muranga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Police FC host Muranga in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Muranga have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while Police FC have conceded 0.68 and scored 1.04. Past meetings favor Police FC slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.94) point toward Police FC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Police FC
30%
Draws
52%
Muranga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Police FC have managed 1.04 goals a game lately — Muranga are scoring more at 1.5.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Police FC Clean Sheet 20%
Muranga Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police FC Muranga
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 2
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Police FC vs Muranga
2:1
Dec 18, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Police FC
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Muranga
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Premier League
Muranga vs Police FC
0:1
Jun 16, 2024 Premier League
Muranga vs Police FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police FC 32 / 100
Muranga 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police FC Muranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muranga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police FC's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Muranga let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Police FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police FC VS Muranga
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Police FC

(Home)
25 Oct
Mombasa United
0 : 0
Police FC
20 Oct
Police FC
1 : 2
Leopards
11 Oct
Migori
1 : 1
Police FC
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
Page 1 of 5

Muranga

(Away)
25 Oct
3K FC
2 : 1
Muranga
18 Oct
Muranga
5 : 1
Posta Rangers
13 Oct
Mahia
4 : 2
Muranga
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 3K FC 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Mara Sugar 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
4 Leopards 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
5 Shabana 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 KCB 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
8 Tusker 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Muranga 3 1 0 2 8:7 3
10 Nairobi United 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
11 Posta Rangers 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
12 Migori 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Police FC 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
14 Bandari 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
15 APS Bomet 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Mathare United 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
17 Ulinzi Stars 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
18 Mombasa United 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)