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Police nad Metuji vs Trutnov

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group C 2025/2026 game between Police nad Metuji and Trutnov finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trutnov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Police nad Metuji
33%
Draws
27%
Trutnov
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Police nad Metuji

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Trutnov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Police nad Metuji a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Police nad Metuji Clean Sheet 15%
Trutnov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police nad Metuji Trutnov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 4. liga - Group C
Police nad Metuji vs Trutnov
1:4
Aug 10, 2025 4. liga - Group C
Trutnov vs Police nad Metuji
0:3
Apr 27, 2025 4. liga - Group C
Trutnov vs Police nad Metuji
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 4. liga - Group C
Police nad Metuji vs Trutnov
2:2
Aug 4, 2024 MOL Cup
Trutnov vs Police nad Metuji
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police nad Metuji 39 / 100
Trutnov 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police nad Metuji Trutnov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Police nad Metuji found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Trutnov conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Police nad Metuji has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Police nad Metuji VS Trutnov
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Police nad Metuji

(Home)
18 Jul
Piast Nowa Ruda
6 : 1
Police nad Metuji
13 Jun
Police nad Metuji
5 : 1
Kosmonosy
07 Jun
Police nad Metuji
2 : 4
Svitavy
30 May
Hlinsko
2 : 2
Police nad Metuji
24 May
Police nad Metuji
1 : 1
Brandys nad Labem
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Trutnov

(Away)
13 Jun
Trutnov
2 : 4
Turnov
07 Jun
Hradek nad Nisou
1 : 2
Trutnov
31 May
Trutnov
2 : 3
Chrudim B
23 May
Prepere
4 : 1
Trutnov
17 May
Trutnov
0 : 0
Vysoke Myto
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