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Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 Boonyachinda Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Marom W.
Own Goal
53' Event
Pedro Henrique
57' Event
Capistrano J.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 game between Police Tero and Nong Bua Pitchaya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police Tero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Police Tero
20%
Draws
38%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Police Tero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nong Bua Pitchaya come out ahead of Police Tero on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Police Tero's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 10%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Tero Nong Bua Pitchaya
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero
3:1
May 3, 2026 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero
6:3
Nov 9, 2025 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
5:2
Apr 2, 2023 Thai League 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Police Tero
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police Tero Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Capistrano J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police Tero 40 / 100
Nong Bua Pitchaya 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Tero Nong Bua Pitchaya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police Tero found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Nong Bua Pitchaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Solid form: Police Tero remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Police Tero VS Nong Bua Pitchaya
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Pattani5
Chainat Hornbill2
Nong Bua Pitchaya4
Police Tero3
Final
Pattani4
Nong Bua Pitchaya3