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Police vs APR

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Police Logo

Police

1 - 1
FT
APR Logo

APR

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Police
20%
Draws
48%
APR
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to APR lately — more wins on the board than Police.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Police Clean Sheet 68%
APR Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police APR
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 20
Draws 14 7
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.73 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
Police vs APR
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Police
0:0
Apr 30, 2025 Peace Cup
APR vs Police
1:0
Apr 15, 2025 Peace Cup
Police vs APR
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Police vs APR
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 41 / 100
APR 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Police went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Police scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Police VS APR
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
13% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
24 May
Police
0 : 0
Kiyovu
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
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APR

(Away)
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5
Mahia
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)