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Police vs Defence Force

Trinidad and Tobago Trinidad and Tobago

TT Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The TT Premier League game between Police and Defence Force finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Police
20%
Draws
34%
Defence Force
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Defence Force come out ahead of Police on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Police taking it.
  • Regular TT Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Defence Force have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Police Clean Sheet 20%
Defence Force Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Defence Force
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 20 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.29 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.12 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 TT Premier League
Police vs Defence Force
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 TT Premier League
Police vs Defence Force
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 TT Premier League
Defence Force vs Police
2:1
Dec 6, 2024 TT Premier League
Police vs Defence Force
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 TT Premier League
Defence Force vs Police
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 67 / 100
Defence Force 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Defence Force

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defence Force let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Police has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Police VS Defence Force
1.86 Goals Scored 1.38
0.43 Goals Conceded 2.38
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
06 Apr
1976 Phoenix FC
0 : 0
Police
28 Mar
San Juan Jabloteh
2 : 2
Police
22 Mar
Police
4 : 0
Central FC
15 Mar
Police
1 : 0
Defence Force
11 Mar
AC Port Of Spain
1 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 7

Defence Force

(Away)
15 Sept
Delfines Del Este
3 : 1
Defence Force
01 Sept
Defence Force
0 : 2
Sando
20 Aug
Defence Force
2 : 1
Broki
05 Aug
Violette
3 : 0
Defence Force
29 Mar
Defence Force
2 : 0
AC Port Of Spain
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Defence Force 22 16 4 2 58:19 52
2 Sando 22 16 1 5 51:13 49
3 Prison Service 22 15 2 5 42:24 47
4 Police 22 13 5 4 44:18 44
5 AC Port Of Spain 22 11 4 7 38:31 37
6 San Juan Jabloteh 22 10 4 8 45:39 34
7 Central FC 22 8 3 11 32:50 27
8 La Horquetta 22 6 3 13 21:51 21
9 1976 Phoenix FC 22 6 1 15 29:54 19
10 Eagles FC 22 5 2 15 31:52 17
11 Point Fortin 22 5 2 15 22:46 17
12 Morvant Caledonia United 22 5 1 16 30:46 16
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