Sport Picks

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Police vs Marines

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Police Logo

Police

2 - 0
FT
Marines Logo

Marines

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Police in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Police
35%
Draws
32%
Marines
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Marines have won more games recently than Police.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Police have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Police Clean Sheet 68%
Marines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Marines
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 17 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.71 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Police vs Marines
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Marines vs Police
1:2
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Marines
4:0
Nov 23, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Police
0:1
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
Marines vs Police
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 42 / 100
Marines 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Marines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Police remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Police found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Police VS Marines
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
24 May
Police
0 : 0
Kiyovu
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
09 May
Musanze
0 : 0
Police
06 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Police
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Marines

(Away)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)