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Police XI vs Gaborone Utd

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Police XI play Gaborone Utd in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Police XI averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Gaborone Utd averaged 2.88 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Police XI won 1, Gaborone Utd won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Police XI and 2.00 for Gaborone Utd. This points to a Gaborone Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Police XI
6%
Draws
90%
Gaborone Utd
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gaborone Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gaborone Utd has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Police XI.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Gaborone Utd.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Police XI Clean Sheet 10%
Gaborone Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police XI Gaborone Utd
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 22
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Police XI vs Gaborone Utd
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Police XI
2:0
Apr 3, 2024 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Police XI
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Police XI vs Gaborone Utd
0:4
Jun 3, 2023 Premier League
Police XI vs Gaborone Utd
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police XI 10 / 100
Gaborone Utd 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police XI Gaborone Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police XI scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Gaborone Utd let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Police XI went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gaborone Utd lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police XI VS Gaborone Utd
1 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaborone Utd30235262:1574
2Jwaneng Galaxy30178555:2359
3Sua Flamingoes30185744:3059
4Centre Chiefs30168637:1856
5Morupule301451141:3347
6Orapa United301211735:3047
7Township Rollers301361133:3345
8Nico United301012828:2542
9Tafic FC308111127:2635
10Matebele30891329:3733
11Police XI307111217:2932
12BDF XI30791430:4230
13Extension Gunners30781526:4329
14Black Lions30761717:3827
15Santa Green30642023:5822
16Calendar Stars30561919:4321