Sport Picks
Police XI vs Gaborone Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Botswana
Premier League 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Police XI and Gaborone Utd finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gaborone Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Police XI haven't matched Gaborone Utd's recent run of results.
- Model gives Police XI a 31% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Police XI Clean Sheet 68%
Gaborone Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Police XI | Gaborone Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.64 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Police XI
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Police XI vs Gaborone Utd
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Police XI
2:0
Apr 3, 2024 Premier League
Gaborone Utd vs Police XI
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Police XI vs Gaborone Utd
0:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Police XI 50 / 100
Gaborone Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Police XI Gaborone Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Police XI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Police XI has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Police XI found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).
Gaborone Utd let in goals in 37% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Police XI VS Gaborone Utd
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Police XI
(Home) 19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0 Orapa United
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1 Police XI
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0 Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0 Police XI
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0 Police XI
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0 Orapa United
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0 Morupule
06 May
Police XI
1 : 0 Black Lions
12 Apr
Police XI
0 : 0 Jwaneng Galaxy
11 Mar
Police XI
1 : 0 Santa Green
Page 1 of 3
Gaborone Utd
(Away) 12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1 Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1 Young Africans
28 Aug
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1 Prisons XI Gaborone
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1 BDF XI
20 May
Centre Chiefs
0 : 1 Gaborone Utd
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1 Gaborone Utd
20 May
Centre Chiefs
0 : 1 Gaborone Utd
25 Apr
Tafic FC
2 : 0 Gaborone Utd
05 Apr
Black Lions
0 : 2 Gaborone Utd
13 Mar
Matebele
0 : 3 Gaborone Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaborone Utd | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 62:15 | 74 |
| 2 | Jwaneng Galaxy | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 55:23 | 59 |
| 3 | Sua Flamingoes | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 44:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Centre Chiefs | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 37:18 | 56 |
| 5 | Morupule | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 6 | Orapa United | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 35:30 | 47 |
| 7 | Township Rollers | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:33 | 45 |
| 8 | Nico United | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 28:25 | 42 |
| 9 | Tafic FC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 27:26 | 35 |
| 10 | Matebele | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29:37 | 33 |
| 11 | Police XI | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 17:29 | 32 |
| 12 | BDF XI | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 30:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Extension Gunners | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Black Lions | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 17:38 | 27 |
| 15 | Santa Green | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 23:58 | 22 |
| 16 | Calendar Stars | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 19:43 | 21 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
