Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Policia vs Monte Carlo

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021 Centro Desportivo Olímpico - Estádio, Taipa
Policia Logo

Policia

1 - 1
FT
Monte Carlo Logo

Monte Carlo

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Wong W.
89' Event
Sio K. U.
90'
Cheong L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2021 game between Policia and Monte Carlo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Policia
20%
Draws
40%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monte Carlo come out ahead of Policia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Monte Carlo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elite League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Policia Clean Sheet 19%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Policia Monte Carlo
Matches Played 25 37
Wins 7 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.04 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2021 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Policia
0:2
Apr 30, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Monte Carlo
1:1
Dec 10, 2020 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Policia
3:1
May 15, 2019 Elite League
Policia vs Monte Carlo
0:3
Jan 25, 2019 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Policia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Policia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wong W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sio K. U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Policia 10 / 100
Monte Carlo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Policia Monte Carlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monte Carlo conceded in 73% of 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Policia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Policia scored in 56% of their last 25 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Monte Carlo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Policia

(Home)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 5

Monte Carlo

(Away)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 18 18 0 0 115:4 54
2 Benfica 18 15 0 3 91:15 45
3 Tak Chun Ka I 18 11 2 5 29:30 35
4 Cheng Fung 18 10 0 8 40:44 30
5 Lun Lok 18 6 3 9 26:55 21
6 Sporting Macau 18 6 2 10 33:45 20
7 Policia 18 4 5 9 17:33 17
8 Casa de Portugal 18 4 4 10 22:68 16
9 Monte Carlo 18 2 6 10 14:46 12
10 Hang Sai 18 2 2 14 12:59 8
Promotion - AFC Cup 2022 (Qualification)