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Policia vs Sporting Macau Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2022
Thu, Feb 10, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Policia host Sporting Macau in the Elite League 2022. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Policia at 1.04 goals for, 1.84 against; Sporting Macau at 0.94 for, 4.12 against. Past meetings favor Policia slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (3.04 - 0.93) back Policia to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Policia
20%
Draws
29%
Sporting Macau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Policia come out ahead of Sporting Macau on wins alone.
  • Policia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Policia Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Policia Sporting Macau
Matches Played 25 33
Wins 7 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.04 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.84 4.12
Expected Goals (xG) 3.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2022 Elite League
Policia vs Sporting Macau
0:0
Jun 20, 2021 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Policia
3:2
Mar 19, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Sporting Macau
3:0
Nov 28, 2020 Elite League
Policia vs Sporting Macau
1:0
Jun 20, 2019 Elite League
Policia vs Sporting Macau
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Policia 85 / 100
Sporting Macau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Policia Sporting Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Policia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting Macau conceded in 97% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Policia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sporting Macau's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting Macau
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 4.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Policia

(Home)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 5

Sporting Macau

(Away)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 16 0 0 95:4 48
2 Monte Carlo 16 13 0 3 83:15 39
3 Benfica 16 11 2 3 54:13 35
4 Cheng Fung 16 8 1 7 40:25 25
5 Tak Chun Ka I 16 5 3 8 25:48 18
6 Lun Lok 16 5 3 8 19:45 18
7 CFB Macau 16 3 5 8 13:63 14
8 Sporting Macau 16 1 5 10 9:45 8
9 Casa de Portugal 16 0 1 15 6:86 1
10 Policia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Cup (Qualification - Play Offs)