Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polissya Zhytomyr vs Zorya

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Fedor O.
46'
Sub
Kravets V. In: Machelyuk A.
Out: Kravets V.
54'
Babenko R.

AI Match Summary

Zorya in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zorya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Polissya Zhytomyr
20%
Draws
20%
Zorya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Polissya Zhytomyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Polissya Zhytomyr have won more games recently than Zorya.
  • Win probability leans Polissya Zhytomyr's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Polissya Zhytomyr Clean Sheet 16%
Zorya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polissya Zhytomyr Zorya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.24 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Premier League
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Zorya
1:2
May 18, 2026 Premier League
Zorya vs Polissya Zhytomyr
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Zorya
2:0
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Zorya vs Polissya Zhytomyr
0:1
Nov 25, 2024 Premier League
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Zorya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polissya Zhytomyr Compare

Top Goalscorer Fedor O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Zorya Compare

Top Goalscorer Glushchenko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nesterenko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polissya Zhytomyr 75 / 100
Zorya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polissya Zhytomyr Zorya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polissya Zhytomyr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Polissya Zhytomyr scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Polissya Zhytomyr has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zorya has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Polissya Zhytomyr VS Zorya
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Polissya Zhytomyr

(Home)
18 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Kryvbas
13 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
1 : 0
Livyi Bereg
09 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
2 : 0
Kudrivka
04 Sept
Polissya Zhytomyr
5 : 1
Kudrivka
29 Aug
Shakhtar
0 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
Page 1 of 6

Zorya

(Away)
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
13 Sept
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Zorya
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
06 Sept
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Zorya
31 Aug
Zorya
0 : 3
FC Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Karpaty Lviv 6 4 1 1 14:4 13
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
5 FC Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12:4 12
6 LNZ Cherkasy 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
7 Epitsentr 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
8 Zorya 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
9 Livyi Bereg 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
10 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
11 Veres Rivne 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
14 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
15 Kolos Kovalivka 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Kudrivka 5 0 2 3 2:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)