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Politehnica UTM vs Dacia Buiucani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Complexul Sportiv al Tineretului UTM, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Efros S.
45' Event
Cucer D.
46'
Sub
Colis V. In: Baciu D.
Out: Colis V.

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga game between Politehnica UTM and Dacia Buiucani finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Politehnica UTM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Politehnica UTM
30%
Draws
47%
Dacia Buiucani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dacia Buiucani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dacia Buiucani haven't matched Politehnica UTM's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dacia Buiucani's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 16%
Dacia Buiucani Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Politehnica UTM Dacia Buiucani
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.62 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia Buiucani
2:1
Jul 18, 2026 Super Liga
Dacia Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM
1:5
Nov 1, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia Buiucani
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super Liga
Dacia Buiucani vs Politehnica UTM
4:1
Jul 12, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Dacia Buiucani
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Politehnica UTM Compare

Top Goalscorer Cucer D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caruntu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dacia Buiucani Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciumasu V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Politehnica UTM 15 / 100
Dacia Buiucani 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Politehnica UTM Dacia Buiucani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dacia Buiucani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Politehnica UTM scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Dacia Buiucani conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Politehnica UTM has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Politehnica UTM VS Dacia Buiucani
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Politehnica UTM

(Home)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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Dacia Buiucani

(Away)
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
13 Sept
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
CSF Balti
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
30 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 0
Milsami
23 Aug
Real Sireti
0 : 0
Dacia Buiucani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)