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Politehnica UTM vs Milsami - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Complexul Sportiv al Tineretului UTM, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Noh Nafeng Y.
35' Event
Sprinsean A.
46'
Sub
Decio Neto In: Bulmaga L.
Out: Decio Neto

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Politehnica UTM
20%
Draws
57%
Milsami
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Milsami

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Politehnica UTM have won more games recently than Milsami.
  • Milsami are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Milsami have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 16%
Milsami Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Politehnica UTM Milsami
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.62 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Milsami
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Milsami
0:5
Aug 17, 2025 Super Liga
Milsami vs Politehnica UTM
4:1
Jun 28, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Milsami
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Politehnica UTM Compare

Top Goalscorer Sprinsean A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Milsami Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Politehnica UTM 15 / 100
Milsami 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Politehnica UTM Milsami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Milsami Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Politehnica UTM found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Milsami's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Politehnica UTM remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Politehnica UTM VS Milsami
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Politehnica UTM

(Home)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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Milsami

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Sireti
1 : 2
Milsami
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
06 Sept
CSF Balti
1 : 3
Milsami
30 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 0
Milsami
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0
Petrocub Hincesti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)