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Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Complexul Sportiv al Tineretului UTM, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Jonathas
15' Event
Gandi S.
Penalty Missed
21'
Noh Nafeng Y.

AI Match Summary

Zimbru Chisinau in this Super Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zimbru Chisinau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Politehnica UTM
15%
Draws
51%
Zimbru Chisinau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zimbru Chisinau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zimbru Chisinau lately — more wins on the board than Politehnica UTM.
  • Win probability leans Politehnica UTM's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zimbru Chisinau have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 12%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Politehnica UTM Zimbru Chisinau
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 12 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
2:1
Jul 26, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:2
Apr 21, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:5
Mar 3, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
5:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Politehnica UTM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonathas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Betivu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Politehnica UTM 56 / 100
Zimbru Chisinau 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Politehnica UTM Zimbru Chisinau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Politehnica UTM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Politehnica UTM found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Zimbru Chisinau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 34 matches.

Zimbru Chisinau's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Politehnica UTM VS Zimbru Chisinau
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Politehnica UTM

(Home)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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Zimbru Chisinau

(Away)
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
06 Sept
Real Sireti
0 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 14 9 4 1 37:12 31
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 14 6 2 6 19:21 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 14 1 7 6 11:19 10
8 CSF Balti 14 1 2 11 9:45 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)