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Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Baranowski F.
43' Event
Sobczak K.
67' Event
Piatek K.

AI Match Summary

Polkowice in this III Liga - Group III matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polkowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Polkowice
15%
Draws
59%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Polkowice lately — more wins on the board than Karkonosze Jelenia Gora.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 20%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polkowice Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2:1
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:3
Mar 17, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:4
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Polkowice
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polkowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Baranowski F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sobczak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Piatek K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polkowice 32 / 100
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polkowice Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polkowice found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Polkowice has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Polkowice VS Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Polkowice

(Home)
09 Oct
Polkowice
4 : 1
Stilon Gorzow
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Barycz Sulow
2 : 1
Polkowice
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Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

(Away)
10 Oct
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 0
BKS Sparta Katowice
03 Oct
Sleza Wroclaw
2 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
26 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
13 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
4 : 2
Stilon Gorzow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)