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Polkowice vs Notec Czarnkow

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polkowice play Notec Czarnkow in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Polkowice averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Notec Czarnkow averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, Polkowice won 3, Notec Czarnkow won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 1-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Polkowice and 1.38 for Notec Czarnkow. This points to a Polkowice double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Polkowice
18%
Draws
39%
Notec Czarnkow
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Polkowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Polkowice picked up more points recently compared to Notec Czarnkow.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 17%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polkowice Notec Czarnkow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.82 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Notec Czarnkow
1-1
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Notec Czarnkow vs Polkowice
2-0
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Notec Czarnkow
1-0
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Notec Czarnkow vs Polkowice
0-1
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Notec Czarnkow
2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polkowice 42 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polkowice Notec Czarnkow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Polkowice or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Polkowice attacking → ← attacking Notec Czarnkow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polkowice scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Notec Czarnkow let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Polkowice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Notec Czarnkow lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 44
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50