Sport Picks
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8, Bytom 
Match Events
22'
22'
Los K.
Assist: Ciepiela B.
28'
28'
Zielinski L.
37'
37'
Wolski M.
Assist: Zielinski L.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Polonia Bytom and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Polonia Bytom come out ahead of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 13%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Bytom | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2:2
Feb 28, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Polonia Bytom
2:1
Aug 20, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:0
Nov 16, 2024 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 Division 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Polonia Bytom
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Bytom Compare
Top Goalscorer Zielinski L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wolski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Los K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Majewski R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Bytom 31 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Bytom Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polonia Bytom scored in 92% of their last 26 games.
Defensive concern: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Polonia Bytom stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Bytom VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Bytom
(Home) 11 Oct
Puszcza
0 : 1 Polonia Bytom
02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Podbeskidzie
22 Aug
Polonia Bytom
2 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Aug
Polonia Bytom
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
24 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 3 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
(Away) 10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0 LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
01 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
3 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
22 Aug
Polonia Bytom
2 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 16 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
