Sport Picks
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8, Bytom 
Match Events
8'
8'
Michalski K.
9'
9'
Rosolek M.
Assist: Barczak J.
36'
36'
Szuprytowski D.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Polonia Bytom and Pogon Siedlce finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pogon Siedlce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Pogon Siedlce carry the better recent record into this one.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Siedlce taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 15%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Bytom | Pogon Siedlce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom
2:0
Mar 17, 2024 Division 2
Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom
3:3
Sep 2, 2023 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Bytom Compare
Top Goalscorer Szymanski J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Orlik K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Pogon Siedlce Compare
Top Goalscorer Rosolek M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Bytom 23 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Bytom Pogon Siedlce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pogon Siedlce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polonia Bytom scored in 88% of their last 26 games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Pogon Siedlce let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.
Recent resilience: Polonia Bytom stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Bytom VS Pogon Siedlce
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Bytom
(Home) 02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Podbeskidzie
22 Aug
Polonia Bytom
2 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Aug
Polonia Bytom
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
24 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 3 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 3
Pogon Siedlce
(Away) 20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1 Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3 Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0 Stal Mielec
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3 Pogon Siedlce
21 Aug
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 Pogon Siedlce
07 Aug
Polonia Bytom
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Chrobry Glogow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Pogon Siedlce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 17 | Podbeskidzie | 9 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
