Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Szymusik G.
(Penalty)
23'
Budnicki J.
27'
Sub
Andrzejczak K. In: Bakala M.
Out: Andrzejczak K.

AI Match Summary

Polonia Bytom in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Bytom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Polonia Bytom
6%
Draws
4%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Polonia Bytom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Polonia Warszawa have won more games recently than Polonia Bytom.
  • Model gives Polonia Bytom a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 18%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Bytom Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia Bytom
2:1
Nov 19, 2016 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa
1:1
Jul 31, 2016 Division 2
Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia Bytom
0:3
Apr 16, 2011 Ekstraklasa
Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Bytom Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojtyra K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zielinski L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostorz K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zjawinski L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Bytom 85 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Bytom Polonia Warszawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Bytom scored in 92% of their last 24 games.

Defensive concern: Polonia Warszawa conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Polonia Bytom has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Bytom VS Polonia Warszawa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423