Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026

Polonia Nysa

2 - 2

Carina Gubin

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Podgorski M.

59'

Elorhan

68'

Bednarczyk P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Polonia Nysa

39%

Draws

31%

Carina Gubin

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Carina Gubin have won more games recently than Polonia Nysa.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 15%

Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Polonia Nysa	Carina Gubin
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	7	9
Draws	6	7
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	1.13	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group III

Carina Gubin vs Polonia Nysa

1:2

Nov 14, 2025 III Liga - Group III

Polonia Nysa vs Carina Gubin

2:2

Mar 4, 2023 III Liga - Group III

Carina Gubin vs Polonia Nysa

1:0

Aug 6, 2022 III Liga - Group III

Polonia Nysa vs Carina Gubin

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Podgorski M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pisula M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Elorhan

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bednarczyk P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Nysa 30 / 100

Carina Gubin 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Polonia Nysa Carina Gubin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Polonia Nysa's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Carina Gubin has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Polonia Nysa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Nysa VS Carina Gubin

1.13 Goals Scored 1.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Nysa

(Home)

25 Jul

Olawa

1 : 2

Polonia Nysa

24 Jul

Brzeg

2 : 0

Polonia Nysa

18 Jul

Strzegom

0 : 0

Polonia Nysa

15 Jul

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

0 : 2

Polonia Nysa

11 Jul

GKS Belchatow

1 : 2

Polonia Nysa

Page 1 of 6

Carina Gubin

(Away)

25 Jul

Stilon Gorzow

1 : 1

Carina Gubin

15 Jul

Zielona Gora

2 : 3

Carina Gubin

11 Jul

Warta Gorzow

1 : 1

Carina Gubin

30 May

Carina Gubin

1 : 2

Polonia Nysa

23 May

Starowice Dolne

0 : 2

Carina Gubin

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zielona Gora	34	21	10	3	77:17	73
2	Polkowice	34	20	7	7	64:42	67
3	BKS Sparta Katowice	34	18	8	8	53:34	62
4	Skra Czestochowa	34	17	8	9	68:56	59
5	Zaglebie II	34	17	6	11	77:61	57
6	Goczalkowice Zdroj	34	15	9	10	49:46	54
7	Kluczbork	34	15	7	12	67:43	52
8	Warta Gorzow	34	15	7	12	54:47	52
9	Gornik Zabrze II	34	15	6	13	73:44	51
10	Sleza Wroclaw	34	14	7	13	49:57	49
11	Woliborz	34	13	9	12	48:49	48
12	Carina Gubin	34	12	11	11	50:51	47
13	Legnica II	34	13	7	14	63:58	46
14	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	34	12	9	13	57:56	45
15	Polonia Nysa	34	9	10	15	51:58	37
16	Starowice Dolne	34	7	6	21	33:81	27
17	Pniowek Pawlowice	34	5	4	25	28:77	19
18	Stal Jasien	34	2	1	31	21:105	7

Promotion - Division 2 (Main)

Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)