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Polonia Nysa vs Zaglebie II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ligocki J.
29' Event
Rakoczy M.
45' Event
Zimon M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Polonia Nysa and Zaglebie II finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Polonia Nysa
35%
Draws
35%
Zaglebie II
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Polonia Nysa haven't matched Zaglebie II's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Nysa Zaglebie II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Zaglebie II
2:2
Apr 10, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Zaglebie II
2:4
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Polonia Nysa
5:2
Jun 2, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Polonia Nysa
3:1
Nov 7, 2020 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Zaglebie II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakoczy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zimon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Zaglebie II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ligocki J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marek S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Nysa 30 / 100
Zaglebie II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Nysa Zaglebie II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaglebie II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zaglebie II has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Polonia Nysa found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Polonia Nysa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Nysa VS Zaglebie II
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Nysa

(Home)
10 Oct
Warta Gorzow
0 : 1
Polonia Nysa
02 Oct
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Legnica II
26 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Polonia Nysa
18 Sept
Polonia Nysa
0 : 2
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
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Zaglebie II

(Away)
10 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 1
Zaglebie II
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Barycz Sulow
3 : 3
Zaglebie II
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
12 Sept
ROW Rybnik
2 : 2
Zaglebie II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)