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Polonia Nysa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Barc M.
30'
Rozwandowicz M.
50' Event
Podgorski M.

AI Match Summary

Zaglebie Sosnowiec in this III Liga - Group III matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zaglebie Sosnowiec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Polonia Nysa
15%
Draws
57%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zaglebie Sosnowiec lately — more wins on the board than Polonia Nysa.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Zaglebie Sosnowiec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Nysa Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1:2
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Polonia Nysa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceesay M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Barc M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Podgorski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Nysa 10 / 100
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Nysa Zaglebie Sosnowiec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaglebie Sosnowiec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Polonia Nysa scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Polonia Nysa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Nysa VS Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Nysa

(Home)
10 Oct
Warta Gorzow
0 : 1
Polonia Nysa
02 Oct
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Legnica II
26 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Polonia Nysa
18 Sept
Polonia Nysa
0 : 2
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

(Away)
10 Oct
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1 : 0
Kluczbork
03 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)