Sport Picks
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Blekitni Stargard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
43'
43'
Bartkowiak B.
45'
45'
Mikita P.
47'
47'
Wilczynski J.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Polonia Sroda Wielkopol and Blekitni Stargard finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Polonia Sroda Wielkopol carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | Blekitni Stargard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 19 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Blekitni Stargard
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:1
Aug 1, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Blekitni Stargard
4:2
Mar 28, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Blekitni Stargard
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Bartkowiak B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mikita P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Blekitni Stargard Compare
Top Goalscorer Lis D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 29 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Blekitni Stargard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).
Blekitni Stargard let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Blekitni Stargard
3 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Home) 09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
01 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 2 Sandecja Nowy S.
28 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 4
Blekitni Stargard
(Away) 10 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 4 Lipno Steszew
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0 KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1 Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3 Blekitni Stargard
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2 Blekitni Stargard
29 Aug
Swinoujscie
1 : 5 Blekitni Stargard
19 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 1 Blekitni Stargard
08 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
