Sport Picks
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Kotwica Kornik
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 
Match Events
5'
5'
Koltanski D.
43'
43'
Niemczyk M.
55'
55'
Stangel M.
AI Match Summary
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in this III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol lately — more wins on the board than Kotwica Kornik.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Polonia Sroda Wielkopol here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 18%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | Kotwica Kornik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.20 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Kotwica Kornik vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:3
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Kotwica Kornik
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Stangel M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Koltanski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Kotwica Kornik Compare
Top Goalscorer Niemczyk M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 32 / 100
Kotwica Kornik 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Kotwica Kornik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Kotwica Kornik conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Difficult form: Kotwica Kornik registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Kotwica Kornik
1.25 Goals Scored 1.6
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.2
63% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Home) 18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3 Ol. Grudziadz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3 Ol. Grudziadz
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
17 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 0 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
08 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 1 Tluchowo
25 Apr
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
Page 1 of 3
Kotwica Kornik
(Away) 25 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
25 Jul
Warta Poznan II
0 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
18 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
6 : 1 Gornik Konin
11 Jul
Lipno Steszew
3 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
31 Jan
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Warta Poznan II
0 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
11 Jul
Lipno Steszew
3 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
26 Jul
Zielona Gora
1 : 2 Kotwica Kornik
31 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
2 : 2 Kotwica Kornik
24 May
Zawisza
2 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kleczew | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 60:35 | 72 |
| 2 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 78:45 | 63 |
| 3 | Zawisza | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 65:41 | 59 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 72:45 | 58 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 65:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58:47 | 55 |
| 7 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 67:58 | 51 |
| 8 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 47:47 | 48 |
| 9 | Elana Torun | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 44:42 | 47 |
| 10 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:41 | 46 |
| 11 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 61:64 | 45 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 48:56 | 44 |
| 13 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Kotwica Kornik | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 49:60 | 36 |
| 16 | Gedania Gdansk | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 43:80 | 34 |
| 17 | Gryf Slupsk | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:55 | 30 |
| 18 | Vineta Wolin | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 48:97 | 17 |
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
