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Stadium Background

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lech Poznan II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol play Lech Poznan II in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Polonia Sroda Wielkopol averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. Lech Poznan II averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Polonia Sroda Wielkopol won 0, Lech Poznan II won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Polonia Sroda Wielkopol and 1.44 for Lech Poznan II. This points to a Polonia Sroda Wielkopol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
6%
Draws
4%
Lech Poznan II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lech Poznan II.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 16%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Lech Poznan II
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lech Poznan II
1:4
May 2, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Oct 4, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lech Poznan II
1:3
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lech Poznan II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Misztal M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilak F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Szymczak W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 84 / 100
Lech Poznan II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Lech Poznan II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Lech Poznan II let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lech Poznan II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Lech Poznan II
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415