Sport Picks
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Victoria Wrzesnia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
30'
30'
Mikita P.
90'
90'
Borucki A.
AI Match Summary
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have won more games recently than Victoria Wrzesnia.
- Polonia Sroda Wielkopol are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | Victoria Wrzesnia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Victoria Wrzesnia
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:3
Jan 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Mikita P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Victoria Wrzesnia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 75 / 100
Victoria Wrzesnia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Victoria Wrzesnia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Victoria Wrzesnia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Victoria Wrzesnia
3 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Home) 09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
01 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 2 Sandecja Nowy S.
28 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 3
Victoria Wrzesnia
(Away) 10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1 Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1 Victoria Wrzesnia
29 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
2 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
19 Aug
Swinoujscie
5 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
07 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
