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Polonia W. U19 vs Arkonia Szczecin U19

Poland Poland

Central Youth League
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Wierniuk M.
77' Event
Bakiewicz B.

AI Match Summary

Polonia W. U19 in this Central Youth League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia W. U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Polonia W. U19
40%
Draws
29%
Arkonia Szczecin U19
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Polonia W. U19 have won more games recently than Arkonia Szczecin U19.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Polonia W. U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Arkonia Szczecin U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia W. U19 Arkonia Szczecin U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Central Youth League
Polonia W. U19 vs Arkonia Szczecin U19
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Central Youth League
Arkonia Szczecin U19 vs Polonia W. U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia W. U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wierniuk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakiewicz B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Arkonia Szczecin U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia W. U19 32 / 100
Arkonia Szczecin U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia W. U19 Arkonia Szczecin U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia W. U19's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Arkonia Szczecin U19 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Polonia W. U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Polonia W. U19 VS Arkonia Szczecin U19
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%