Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Polonii, Warsaw
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Warszawa host Unia Skierniewice in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Unia Skierniewice have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Polonia Warszawa have conceded 1.88 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Polonia Warszawa slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2024, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.06 - 1.88) back Unia Skierniewice to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Polonia Warszawa
22%
Draws
60%
Unia Skierniewice
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Unia Skierniewice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Unia Skierniewice have won more games recently than Polonia Warszawa.
  • Unia Skierniewice are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Warszawa Unia Skierniewice
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 13 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa
2:1
Dec 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice
2:0
Mar 5, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice
2:0
Aug 10, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa
2:1
Jun 19, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Warszawa 18 / 100
Unia Skierniewice 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Warszawa Unia Skierniewice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Polonia Warszawa scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Unia Skierniewice let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Polonia Warszawa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Warszawa VS Unia Skierniewice
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Warszawa

(Home)
18 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 2
Zawisza
15 Jul
Polonia Warszawa
0 : 2
Zlin
11 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
11 Jul
Pelikan
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
04 Jul
Wisla Plock
3 : 0
Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6

Unia Skierniewice

(Away)
18 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
4 : 0
KKS Kalisz
18 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 0
Legia II
11 Jul
LKS Lodz
2 : 2
Unia Skierniewice
04 Jul
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27 Jun
Pogon Siedlce
0 : 3
Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arka Gdynia00000:00
2LKS Lodz00000:00
3Lechia Gdansk00000:00
4Odra Opole00000:00
5Podbeskidzie00000:00
6Warta Poznan00000:00
7Ruch Chorzow00000:00
8Polonia Bytom00000:00
9Polonia Warszawa00000:00
10Legnica00000:00
11Termalica Bruk-Bet00000:00
12S. Rzeszow00000:00
13Puszcza00000:00
14Chrobry Glogow00000:00
15Pogon Siedlce00000:00
16Unia Skierniewice00000:00
17Stal Mielec00000:00
18Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki00000:00
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)