Sport Picks

Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

Polish Cup Stadion Polonii, Warsaw

Korona Kielce

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Polonia Warszawa have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Korona Kielce's 1.14 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Polonia Warszawa slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.31) point toward Polonia Warszawa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%

Polonia Warszawa

15%

Draws

16%

Korona Kielce

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polonia Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence

Korona Kielce haven't matched Polonia Warszawa's recent run of results.
Model gives Polonia Warszawa a 69% chance of winning this.
Polonia Warszawa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Korona Kielce, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 18%

Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Polonia Warszawa	Korona Kielce
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	10
Draws	3	9
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.41	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly

Korona Kielce vs Polonia Warszawa

0:0

Aug 16, 2013 Polish Cup

Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce

0:3

May 3, 2013 Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce vs Polonia Warszawa

1:1

Feb 16, 2013 Club Friendly

Korona Kielce vs Polonia Warszawa

2:2

Nov 4, 2012 Ekstraklasa

Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Warszawa 85 / 100

Korona Kielce 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Polonia Warszawa Korona Kielce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Warszawa Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Polonia Warszawa scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Polonia Warszawa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Korona Kielce has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Warszawa VS Korona Kielce

1.88 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Warszawa

(Home)

17 Oct

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

0 : 1

Polonia Warszawa

10 Oct

Arka Gdynia

1 : 2

Polonia Warszawa

03 Oct

Jagiellonia

1 : 2

Polonia Warszawa

19 Sept

Polonia Warszawa

2 : 0

Chrobry Glogow

11 Sept

Polonia Warszawa

2 : 2

Polonia Bytom

Page 1 of 6

Korona Kielce

(Away)

18 Oct

Lech Poznan

6 : 1

Korona Kielce

11 Oct

Pogon Szczecin

2 : 0

Korona Kielce

03 Oct

Legia

5 : 1

Korona Kielce

19 Sept

Korona Kielce

3 : 2

Rakow Czestochowa

15 Sept

Korona Kielce

0 : 2

Gornik Zabrze

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Legnica -

TBD -

Chrobry Glogow -

Widzew Lodz II -

TBD -

Polonia Bytom -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg -

TBD -

Zaglebie -

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sokol Ostroda -

TBD -

Unia Skierniewice 2

Kleczew 3

Podhale Nowy Targ 2

Chojniczanka 0

TBD -

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -

Avia Swidnik -

TBD -

KS Wieczysta Krakow -

Korona Kielce II -

TBD -

Radomiak Radom -

Warta Poznan 0

R. Rzeszow 1

TBD -

Arka Gdynia -

S. Rzeszow -

TBD -

Podbeskidzie 2

Hutnik Krakow 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

TBD -

Sandecja Nowy S. 3

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0

Beskid Andrychow -

TBD -

Slask Wroclaw II 3

Stal Stalowa Wola 2

Motor Lublin -

TBD -

Legia -

TBD -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Kluczbork -

TBD -

Lechia Gdansk -

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Polkowice -

TBD -

Polonia Warszawa -

Widzew Lodz -

TBD -

Korona Kielce -

Plock II -

TBD -

Puszcza -

Luzino -

TBD -

Wisla Plock -

Pruszkow 3

LKS Lodz II 1

TBD -

Cracovia -

Zielona Gora -

TBD -

Ruch Chorzow -

Gornik Zabrze II -

TBD -

Ol. Grudziadz 5

Swit Szczecin 3

Suwalki -

TBD -

Termalica Bruk-Bet -

Chemik Bydgoszcz -

TBD -

Piast Gliwice -

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole -

TBD -

Wisla -

Slask Wroclaw -

TBD -

Pogon Szczecin -

Leczna 2

KKS Kalisz 0

TBD -

Stal Mielec -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy 1

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0

TBD -

LKS Lodz -

Kluczevia Stargard -

TBD -

Pogon Siedlce 3

GKS Jastrzebie 0

1/32-finals

Legnica 0

Chrobry Glogow 1

Widzew Lodz II 1

Polonia Bytom 2

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3

Zaglebie 2

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Sokol Ostroda 1

Kleczew 2

Podhale Nowy Targ 3

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1

Avia Swidnik 3

KS Wieczysta Krakow 1

Korona Kielce II 0

Radomiak Radom 1

R. Rzeszow 0

Arka Gdynia 4

S. Rzeszow 3

Podbeskidzie 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3

Sandecja Nowy S. 2

Beskid Andrychow 1

Slask Wroclaw II 3

Motor Lublin 3

Legia 0

TBD -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Kluczbork 1

Lechia Gdansk 2

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Polkowice 0

Polonia Warszawa 1

Widzew Lodz 0

Korona Kielce 1

Plock II 0

Puszcza 2

Luzino 2

Wisla Plock 3

Pruszkow 2

Cracovia 1

Zielona Gora 0

Ruch Chorzow 2

Gornik Zabrze II 3

Ol. Grudziadz 4

Suwalki 1

Termalica Bruk-Bet 5

Chemik Bydgoszcz 0

Piast Gliwice 3

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole 2

Wisla 1

Slask Wroclaw 2

Pogon Szczecin 1

Leczna 4

Stal Mielec 3

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy 1

LKS Lodz 0

Kluczevia Stargard 2

Pogon Siedlce 3

1/16-finals

Chrobry Glogow -

Polonia Bytom -

Siarka Tarnobrzeg -

Lech Poznan -

Kleczew -

Podhale Nowy Targ -

Avia Swidnik -

Radomiak Radom -

Arka Gdynia -

S. Rzeszow -

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

Slask Wroclaw II -

Motor Lublin -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Lechia Gdansk -

Jagiellonia -

Polonia Warszawa -

Korona Kielce -

Puszcza -

Wisla Plock -

Pruszkow -

Ruch Chorzow -

Ol. Grudziadz -

Termalica Bruk-Bet -

Piast Gliwice -

Gornik Zabrze -

Odra Opole -

Slask Wroclaw -

Leczna -

GKS Katowice -

Tychy -

Pogon Siedlce -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Polonia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland

Polonia Warszawa

Korona Kielce

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Warszawa

Korona Kielce

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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