Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2021/2022 Stadion Polonii

Kutno

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Polonia Warszawa play Kutno in the III Liga - Group I 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Polonia Warszawa averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. Kutno averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. In past meetings, Polonia Warszawa won 1, Kutno won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 23, 2022 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Polonia Warszawa and 1.38 for Kutno. This points to a Polonia Warszawa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Polonia Warszawa

22%

Draws

28%

Kutno

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Polonia Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Polonia Warszawa picked up more points recently compared to Kutno.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 17%

Kutno Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Polonia Warszawa	Kutno
Matches Played	26	28
Wins	13	7
Draws	3	6
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.65	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.46	2.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Polonia Warszawa vs Kutno

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

5:0

Sep 11, 2021 III Liga - Group I

Kutno vs Polonia Warszawa

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Aug 8, 2020 III Liga - Group I

Kutno vs Polonia Warszawa

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosiejko D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Fadecki W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Kutno Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Warszawa 48 / 100

Kutno 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Polonia Warszawa Kutno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Polonia Warszawa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Polonia Warszawa attacking → ← attacking Kutno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Warszawa scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Kutno let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Polonia Warszawa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kutno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 27

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Warszawa	36	26	3	7	80:27	81
2	Legionowo	36	24	8	4	76:39	80
3	Swit Mazowiecki	36	17	8	11	58:46	59
4	Legia II	36	16	10	10	77:55	58
5	Blonianka Blonie	36	17	6	13	61:62	57
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	36	16	8	12	63:48	56
7	LKS Lodz II	36	15	9	12	63:52	54
8	Ursus Warszawa	36	15	8	13	53:63	53
9	Jagiellonia II	36	16	4	16	66:58	52
10	Bron Radom	36	15	6	15	48:55	51
11	Unia Skierniewice	36	15	4	17	60:58	49
12	Pelikan	36	12	10	14	57:46	46
13	Pilica Bialobrzegi	36	13	6	17	57:72	45
14	Kutno	36	11	10	15	49:64	43
15	Mamry Gizycko	36	13	3	20	43:68	42
16	GKS Wikielec	36	10	12	14	42:53	42
17	Znicz Biala Piska	36	12	6	18	55:69	42
18	Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz	36	5	10	21	36:64	25
19	Wissa Szczuczyn	36	4	9	23	28:73	21