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Polonia Warszawa vs Legionowo

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Warszawa play Legionowo in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Polonia Warszawa averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Legionowo averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Polonia Warszawa won 3, Legionowo won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 24, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Polonia Warszawa and 1.38 for Legionowo. This points to a Polonia Warszawa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Polonia Warszawa
28%
Draws
20%
Legionowo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Polonia Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Polonia Warszawa picked up more points recently compared to Legionowo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 17%
Legionowo Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Warszawa Legionowo
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 14 5
Draws 3 10
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.56 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Polonia Warszawa vs Legionowo
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Polonia Warszawa vs Legionowo
3:2
Nov 13, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Legionowo vs Polonia Warszawa
1:1
May 29, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Polonia Warszawa vs Legionowo
5:1
Apr 18, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Legionowo vs Polonia Warszawa
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomczyk P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tymendorf K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Legionowo Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Warszawa 50 / 100
Legionowo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Warszawa Legionowo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Polonia Warszawa or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Polonia Warszawa attacking → ← attacking Legionowo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Warszawa scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Legionowo let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Polonia Warszawa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Legionowo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 25
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00