Sport Picks
Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion Polonii, Warsaw 
Match Events
45'
45'
Lesniak-Paduch N.
62'
62'
Szymanski S.
63'
63'
Sub
Rosol M. In: Kristan J.
Out: Rosol M.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Polonia Warszawa and Ruch Chorzow finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polonia Warszawa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Polonia Warszawa come out ahead of Ruch Chorzow on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Polonia Warszawa's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 17%
Ruch Chorzow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Warszawa | Ruch Chorzow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa
2:3
Aug 15, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow
0:0
May 25, 2025 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Polonia Warszawa
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Warszawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Durmus I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Ruch Chorzow Compare
Top Goalscorer Szymanski S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Warszawa 48 / 100
Ruch Chorzow 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Warszawa Ruch Chorzow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Warszawa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polonia Warszawa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Ruch Chorzow let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Polonia Warszawa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Warszawa VS Ruch Chorzow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Warszawa
(Home) 10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
29 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 4 Lechia Gdansk
07 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
1 : 1 Ruch Chorzow
01 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 3
Ruch Chorzow
(Away) 03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3 Lechia Gdansk
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3 Podbeskidzie
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
02 Sept
Zielona Gora
0 : 2 Ruch Chorzow
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
02 Sept
Zielona Gora
0 : 2 Ruch Chorzow
30 Aug
Chrobry Glogow
2 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
24 Aug
S. Rzeszow
0 : 1 Ruch Chorzow
07 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
1 : 1 Ruch Chorzow
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 16 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
