Sport Picks
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion Polonii, Warsaw 
Match Events
36'
36'
Sabillo K.
40'
40'
Bida B.
54'
54'
Gnaase D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Polonia Warszawa in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Warszawa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polonia Warszawa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Polonia Warszawa have won more games recently than Unia Skierniewice.
- Polonia Warszawa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 19%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Warszawa | Unia Skierniewice |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice
3:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa
2:1
Dec 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice
2:0
Mar 5, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Polonia Warszawa vs Unia Skierniewice
2:0
Aug 10, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Polonia Warszawa
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Warszawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Terpilowski E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Skrabb S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Unia Skierniewice Compare
Top Goalscorer Sabillo K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Warszawa 76 / 100
Unia Skierniewice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Warszawa Unia Skierniewice
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Warszawa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Polonia Warszawa scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Unia Skierniewice let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Polonia Warszawa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Warszawa VS Unia Skierniewice
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Warszawa
(Home) 10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
29 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 4 Lechia Gdansk
07 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
1 : 1 Ruch Chorzow
01 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 3
Unia Skierniewice
(Away) 10 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
02 Oct
Wisla Plock
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Wisla Plock
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
23 Aug
Puszcza
0 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
01 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 16 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
