Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polonia Warszawa vs Wisla

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion Polonii
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Kutwa M.
18' Event
Bozic M.
Assist: Duarte F.
46'
Sub
Piotrowski B. In: Wojciechowski O.
Out: Piotrowski B.

AI Match Summary

Wisla in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wisla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Polonia Warszawa
6%
Draws
90%
Wisla
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wisla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wisla haven't matched Polonia Warszawa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Wisla's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%
Wisla Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Warszawa Wisla
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 12
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Wisla
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Division 1
Wisla vs Polonia Warszawa
1:2
Dec 6, 2024 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Wisla
2:0
Dec 3, 2024 Polish Cup
Polonia Warszawa vs Wisla
3:2
Jul 28, 2024 Division 1
Wisla vs Polonia Warszawa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wisla Compare

Top Goalscorer Bozic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Warszawa 10 / 100
Wisla 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Warszawa Wisla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Warszawa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Wisla conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Polonia Warszawa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Warszawa VS Wisla
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423