Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polotsk vs Dnepr Mogilev

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kapov K.
18' Event
Kanonik I.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Rybakov M.

AI Match Summary

Dnepr Mogilev in this Division 2 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dnepr Mogilev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Polotsk
30%
Draws
35%
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Polotsk haven't matched Dnepr Mogilev's recent run of results.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Dnepr Mogilev taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dnepr Mogilev here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Polotsk Clean Sheet 17%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polotsk Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 1 11
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.41
Goals Conceded 4.1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Polotsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:6
May 30, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Dnepr Mogilev vs Polotsk
7:0
Oct 27, 2012 Pershaya Liga
Polotsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
0:3
Jul 4, 2012 Pershaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Polotsk
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polotsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapov K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rybakov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polotsk 10 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polotsk Dnepr Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dnepr Mogilev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Dnepr Mogilev let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Polotsk scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Polotsk went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polotsk VS Dnepr Mogilev
0 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Polotsk

(Home)
27 May
Polotsk
0 : 2
Uni X Labs
21 May
Polotsk
0 : 5
FK Baranovici
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 14
Niva Dolbizno
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 9
ML Vitebsk
24 Oct
Polotsk
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
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Dnepr Mogilev

(Away)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dnepr Mogilev 20 19 0 1 105:9 57
2 Petrikov 20 16 1 3 80:16 49
3 Osipovichi 20 12 1 7 44:35 37
4 Gorki 20 10 5 5 35:21 35
5 Viktoria Maryina Gorka 20 9 4 7 43:37 31
6 ML Vitebsk 20 9 3 8 46:45 30
7 SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 8 2 10 45:53 26
8 BumProm Gomel 20 7 3 10 29:51 24
9 Polotsk 20 4 1 15 27:78 13
10 Energetik-BGATU 20 2 3 15 28:59 9
11 Zhlobin 20 2 1 17 14:92 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Promotion Group (Main)
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Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)