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Pombal vs Sousa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Luis Henrique
66' Event
Yan Philippe
75' Event
Marlon

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pombal and Sousa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sousa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pombal
20%
Draws
29%
Sousa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pombal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sousa come out ahead of Pombal on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pombal a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sousa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pombal Clean Sheet 20%
Sousa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pombal Sousa
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.6 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Paraibano
Sousa vs Pombal
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Pombal vs Sousa
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Paraibano
Sousa vs Pombal
1:0
Jan 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Sousa vs Pombal
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Paraibano
Sousa vs Pombal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pombal Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sousa Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yan Philippe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pombal 42 / 100
Sousa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pombal Sousa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pombal scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sousa conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Pombal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sousa
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pombal

(Home)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
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Sousa

(Away)
14 Jun
Sousa
0 : 2
America RN
01 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Sousa
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0
Central SC
16 May
ABC
2 : 0
Sousa
10 May
Laguna RN
0 : 1
Sousa
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