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Pompiers vs Chemal

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Pompiers Logo

Pompiers

1 - 2
FT
Chemal Logo

Chemal

Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
61'
78' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Pompiers and Chemal finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pompiers
30%
Draws
39%
Chemal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chemal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pompiers haven't matched Chemal's recent run of results.
  • Pompiers are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pompiers Clean Sheet 68%
Chemal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompiers Chemal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Pompiers
1:0
Jan 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Chemal
1:2
May 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Chemal
1:2
Jan 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Pompiers
1:1
May 26, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Pompiers
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompiers 51 / 100
Chemal 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompiers Chemal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pompiers scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Chemal has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Pompiers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pompiers VS Chemal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompiers

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 6

Chemal

(Away)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)