Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pompiers vs Nouadhibou

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Said M.
34' Event
Hawbott M.
54' Event
Cisse M.

AI Match Summary

Nouadhibou in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nouadhibou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pompiers
35%
Draws
32%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nouadhibou have won more games recently than Pompiers.
  • Pompiers are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pompiers Clean Sheet 68%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompiers Nouadhibou
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 13 10
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.1 1.72
Goals Conceded 1 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Nouadhibou
0:4
Oct 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Pompiers
0:0
Feb 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Nouadhibou
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Pompiers
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Pompiers
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pompiers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Said M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hawbott M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompiers 46 / 100
Nouadhibou 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompiers Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pompiers found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pompiers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nouadhibou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pompiers VS Nouadhibou
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompiers

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 7

Nouadhibou

(Away)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)