Sport Picks
Ponferradina B vs Atletico Astorga
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada 
Match Events
61'
61'
Klein J.
67'
67'
Pelaez D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 game between Ponferradina B and Atletico Astorga finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Astorga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Atletico Astorga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Atletico Astorga's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Atletico Astorga have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ponferradina B Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponferradina B | Atletico Astorga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Ponferradina B
2:0
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs Atletico Astorga
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Ponferradina B
3:1
Dec 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs Atletico Astorga
1:2
Mar 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Astorga vs Ponferradina B
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponferradina B Compare
Top Goalscorer Klein J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Atletico Astorga Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponferradina B 10 / 100
Atletico Astorga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponferradina B Atletico Astorga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Astorga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Atletico Astorga conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Difficult form: Atletico Astorga registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Ponferradina B found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Atletico Astorga
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponferradina B
(Home) 11 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 3 Almazan
05 May
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0 Ponferradina B
01 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 2 Villaralbo
27 Apr
Real Avila
2 : 1 Ponferradina B
20 Apr
Ponferradina B
0 : 0 Bembibre
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 3 Almazan
01 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 2 Villaralbo
20 Apr
Ponferradina B
0 : 0 Bembibre
07 Apr
Ponferradina B
0 : 1 Becerril
24 Mar
Ponferradina B
3 : 0 La Virgen
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Astorga
(Away) 19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0 Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Portugalete
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Palencia CF
26 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 1 Salamanca CF UDS
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
15 Aug
La Baneza
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
03 May
UD Ourense
1 : 1 Atletico Astorga
12 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
29 Mar
Deportivo Fabril
3 : 0 Atletico Astorga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Avila | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 52:20 | 76 |
| 2 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:16 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 44:23 | 65 |
| 4 | Leonesa B | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 52:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 39:24 | 56 |
| 6 | Palencia CA | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 41:26 | 55 |
| 7 | Palencia CF | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 31:28 | 53 |
| 8 | Becerril | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 38:42 | 51 |
| 9 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:43 | 43 |
| 10 | La Virgen | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:42 | 41 |
| 11 | Almazan | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Bembibre | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 30:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Mirandes B | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 28:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Villaralbo | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30:45 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Laguna (Valladolid) | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 17 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 14:41 | 25 |
| 18 | Ponferradina B | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 22:59 | 14 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
