Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ponferradina vs Ath Bilbao B

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Perez A.

AI Match Summary

Ath Bilbao B in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ath Bilbao B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ponferradina
35%
Draws
38%
Ath Bilbao B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ath Bilbao B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ath Bilbao B haven't matched Ponferradina's recent run of results.
  • Ath Bilbao B are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 15%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponferradina Ath Bilbao B
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.06 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Ath Bilbao B
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Ponferradina
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Ponferradina vs Ath Bilbao B
0:1
May 3, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Ath Bilbao B
2:0
Oct 11, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Ponferradina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponferradina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Ath Bilbao B Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponferradina 27 / 100
Ath Bilbao B 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponferradina Ath Bilbao B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ath Bilbao B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponferradina's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ath Bilbao B has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Ponferradina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ponferradina VS Ath Bilbao B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponferradina

(Home)
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0
AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2
Real Madrid B
Page 1 of 7

Ath Bilbao B

(Away)
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2
Deportivo Fabril
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
18 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6