Sport Picks
Ponferradina vs Ath Bilbao B Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada 
Match Events
35'
35'
Ivanov B.
59'
59'
Keita A.
63'
63'
Sub
Sanchez I. In: Garcia B.
Out: Sanchez I.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Ponferradina and Ath Bilbao B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ponferradina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ath Bilbao B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ponferradina come out ahead of Ath Bilbao B on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Ath Bilbao B's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 17%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponferradina | Ath Bilbao B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Ath Bilbao B
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Ponferradina
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Ponferradina vs Ath Bilbao B
0:1
May 3, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Ath Bilbao B
2:0
Oct 11, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Ponferradina
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponferradina Compare
Top Goalscorer Ivanov B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Ath Bilbao B Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponferradina 28 / 100
Ath Bilbao B 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponferradina Ath Bilbao B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ath Bilbao B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ponferradina's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Ath Bilbao B has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Ponferradina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Ponferradina VS Ath Bilbao B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponferradina
(Home) 27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1 Ponferradina
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1 Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1 Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ponferradina
1 : 0 AD Merida
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2 Real Madrid B
05 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 2 Unionistas de Salamanca
01 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 1 Real Aviles
Page 1 of 3
Ath Bilbao B
(Away) 26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3 Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 2 Deportivo Fabril
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3 Ath Bilbao B
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1 Real Aviles
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3 Ath Bilbao B
12 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 3 Ath Bilbao B
29 Aug
Zamora
1 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
18 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 3 Ath Bilbao B
12 Aug
Barakaldo
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
