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Ponferradina vs Atl. Madrid B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada
Ponferradina Logo

Ponferradina

0 - 0
FT
Atl. Madrid B Logo

Atl. Madrid B

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Ortiz A.
21'
Vazquez B.
28'
Valle B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ponferradina
30%
Draws
33%
Atl. Madrid B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ponferradina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ponferradina come out ahead of Atl. Madrid B on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ponferradina a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Ponferradina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ponferradina, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 17%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponferradina Atl. Madrid B
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Atl. Madrid B vs Ponferradina
0:1
May 30, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Atl. Madrid B
0:0
Mar 16, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Atl. Madrid B
1:0
Oct 28, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atl. Madrid B vs Ponferradina
1:1
Apr 8, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Atl. Madrid B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponferradina 41 / 100
Atl. Madrid B 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponferradina Atl. Madrid B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponferradina found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Atl. Madrid B conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Ponferradina remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ponferradina VS Atl. Madrid B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponferradina

(Home)
13 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 1
Ponferradina
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Aug
Ponferradina
2 : 2
Real Madrid B
08 Aug
Marino De Luanco
0 : 3
Ponferradina
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Madrid B

(Away)
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
30 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
2 : 2
Torremolinos
22 Aug
CD Extremadura
3 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
13 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 2
Mirandes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Celta Vigo B 4
CE Europa 3
Atl. Madrid B 0
Ponferradina 1
Sabadell 3
Real Madrid B 2
Zamora 2
Villarreal B 2
Final
Celta Vigo B 4
Ponferradina 1
Sabadell 4
Zamora 1