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Ponikve vs Kurilovec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Ponikve Logo

Ponikve

1 - 0
FT
Kurilovec Logo

Kurilovec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ponikve in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ponikve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ponikve
15%
Draws
42%
Kurilovec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponikve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ponikve haven't matched Kurilovec's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kurilovec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ponikve Clean Sheet 19%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponikve Kurilovec
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Kurilovec
1:0
Nov 6, 2021 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Ponikve
1:0
Jun 12, 2021 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Ponikve
2:2
Mar 13, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Kurilovec
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponikve 10 / 100
Kurilovec 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponikve Kurilovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kurilovec let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Ponikve found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Ponikve stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponikve VS Kurilovec
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponikve

(Home)
27 Sept
Ponikve
1 : 4
Din. Zagreb
30 Aug
Bilogora
0 : 2
Ponikve
22 Mar
Ponikve
0 : 1
Rudes
28 May
Ravnice
1 : 2
Ponikve
21 May
Ponikve
2 : 0
Segesta
Page 1 of 7

Kurilovec

(Away)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)