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Ponikve vs Tresnjevka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Ponikve Logo

Ponikve

2 - 1
FT
Tresnjevka Logo

Tresnjevka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Ponikve and Tresnjevka finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ponikve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ponikve
15%
Draws
37%
Tresnjevka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ponikve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Tresnjevka haven't matched Ponikve's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Ponikve taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tresnjevka have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ponikve Clean Sheet 68%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponikve Tresnjevka
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2022 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Tresnjevka
2:1
Oct 23, 2021 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Ponikve
7:3
May 22, 2021 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Ponikve
1:0
Oct 31, 2020 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Tresnjevka
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponikve 50 / 100
Tresnjevka 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponikve Tresnjevka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ponikve Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tresnjevka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Ponikve scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Ponikve stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponikve VS Tresnjevka
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponikve

(Home)
27 Sept
Ponikve
1 : 4
Din. Zagreb
30 Aug
Bilogora
0 : 2
Ponikve
22 Mar
Ponikve
0 : 1
Rudes
28 May
Ravnice
1 : 2
Ponikve
21 May
Ponikve
2 : 0
Segesta
Page 1 of 7

Tresnjevka

(Away)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)