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Ponta Pora vs Maracaju

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020
Ponta Pora Logo

Ponta Pora

2 - 0
FT
Maracaju Logo

Maracaju

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 game between Ponta Pora and Maracaju finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ponta Pora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ponta Pora
15%
Draws
59%
Maracaju
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maracaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Maracaju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ponta Pora taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ponta Pora Clean Sheet 16%
Maracaju Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponta Pora Maracaju
Matches Played 9 21
Wins 1 6
Draws 1 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.67 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2020 Sul-Matogrossense
Ponta Pora vs Maracaju
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponta Pora 36 / 100
Maracaju 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponta Pora Maracaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maracaju conceded in 67% of 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ponta Pora scored in 56% of their last 9 games.

Ponta Pora has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ponta Pora VS Maracaju
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponta Pora

(Home)
14 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
08 Mar
Ponta Pora
1 : 3
Comercial MS
04 Mar
Aquidauanense
2 : 1
Ponta Pora
01 Mar
Ponta Pora
0 : 2
Chapadao
16 Feb
Ponta Pora
2 : 0
Maracaju
Page 1 of 2

Maracaju

(Away)
01 Nov
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
6 : 0
Maracaju
26 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 1
Comercial MS
18 Oct
Bataguassu
3 : 1
Maracaju
11 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
05 Oct
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 1
Maracaju
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia Negra 9 5 3 1 14:8 18
2 Aquidauanense 9 5 3 1 18:9 18
3 Chapadao 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
4 Operario MS 9 5 2 2 14:9 17
5 Comercial MS 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Costa Rica 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Corumbaense 9 3 2 4 7:8 11
8 Maracaju 9 2 4 3 12:14 10
9 Ponta Pora 9 1 1 7 6:17 4
10 Nova Andradina 9 0 2 7 5:22 2
Promotion - Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 (Play Offs)