Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Reed L.
75'
75'
Eason L.
87'
87'
Reed L.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2023/2024 game between Pontardawe and Cambrian United finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambrian United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambrian United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Pontardawe haven't matched Cambrian United's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Cymru South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 14%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pontardawe | Cambrian United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2024 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Cambrian United
0:3
Oct 7, 2023 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Pontardawe
0:2
Feb 4, 2023 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Cambrian United
0:2
Oct 8, 2022 FAW Welsh Cup
Pontardawe vs Cambrian United
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Pontardawe
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pontardawe Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Cambrian United Compare
Top Goalscorer Reed L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Eason L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pontardawe 35 / 100
Cambrian United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pontardawe Cambrian United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cambrian United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontardawe scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Cambrian United let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Pontardawe went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pontardawe VS Cambrian United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pontardawe
(Home) 26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0 Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0 Pontardawe
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4 Newport City
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1 Treowen
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4 Newport City
01 Aug
Pontardawe
3 : 0 Caerphilly
17 Apr
Pontardawe
0 : 3 Cambrian United
06 Apr
Pontardawe
1 : 1 Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 3
Cambrian United
(Away) 26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3 Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1 Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2 Cambrian United
28 Aug
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Cambrian United
21 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Briton Ferry | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 87:39 | 71 |
| 2 | Llanelli | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 80:40 | 64 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 60:42 | 57 |
| 4 | Cambrian United | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 60:37 | 50 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 72:60 | 49 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Afan Lido | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 68:56 | 46 |
| 8 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 58:59 | 43 |
| 9 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 69:64 | 42 |
| 10 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 46:41 | 41 |
| 11 | Trefelin | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 47:63 | 38 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 13 | Taffs Well | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 44:49 | 32 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 52:70 | 32 |
| 15 | Abertillery Bluebirds | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 34:94 | 15 |
| 16 | Abergavenny Town | 30 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 20:84 | 8 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)
