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Pontardawe vs Ely Rangers

Wales Wales

Division 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2009/2010 game between Pontardawe and Ely Rangers finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontardawe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pontardawe
15%
Draws
57%
Ely Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ely Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ely Rangers come out ahead of Pontardawe on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Ely Rangers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontardawe Ely Rangers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.58 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2010 Division 1
Pontardawe vs Ely Rangers
3:1
Dec 1, 2009 Division 1
Ely Rangers vs Pontardawe
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontardawe 26 / 100
Ely Rangers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontardawe Ely Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ely Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ely Rangers let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Pontardawe found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Ely Rangers's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pontardawe VS Ely Rangers
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontardawe

(Home)
26 Sept
Pontardawe
6 : 1
Treowen
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4
Newport City
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Ely Rangers

(Away)
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2
Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1
Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1
Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1
Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
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