Sport Picks
Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas 
Match Events
5'
5'
Max
20'
20'
Lucas Cunha
21'
21'
Leo Gomes
Assist: Elvis
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletic Club
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Athletic Club lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
- Model gives Athletic Club a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponte Preta | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 22 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.54 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 28, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponte Preta Compare
Top Goalscorer Leo Gomes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Athletic Club Compare
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponte Preta 26 / 100
Athletic Club 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponte Preta Athletic Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Athletic Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Athletic Club has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Ponte Preta scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Ponte Preta remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ponte Preta VS Athletic Club
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponte Preta
(Home) 07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 EC Juventude
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 EC Juventude
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Avai
14 Aug
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Nautico
Page 1 of 3
Athletic Club
(Away) 06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1 Athletic Club
01 Oct
Athletic Club
1 : 2 Sport Recife
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1 Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Goias
2 : 1 Athletic Club
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Athletic Club
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
