Sport Picks

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Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Max
20'
Lucas Cunha
21' Event
Leo Gomes
Assist: Elvis

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ponte Preta
17%
Draws
70%
Athletic Club
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Athletic Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athletic Club lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
  • Model gives Athletic Club a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 18%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Athletic Club
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 12
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 0.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs Ponte Preta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Gomes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Athletic Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 15 / 100
Athletic Club 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Athletic Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athletic Club has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ponte Preta scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Athletic Club has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Athletic Club
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
22 Jul
Operario-PR
3 : 2
Ponte Preta
18 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Goias
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Criciuma
03 Jul
Fortaleza
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
28 Jun
Atletico GO
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
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Athletic Club

(Away)
23 Jul
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
18 Jul
Atletico GO
0 : 0
Athletic Club
13 Jul
Ceara
0 : 0
Athletic Club
07 Jul
Athletic Club
0 : 1
Operario-PR
28 Jun
Athletic Club
1 : 0
Avai
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2Operario-PR20105528:2535
3Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
4Novorizontino2096532:1933
5EC Juventude1995521:1232
6Fortaleza1994622:1931
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
12Athletic Club1969418:1727
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP1966724:2024
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai1955921:2620
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta19221514:388
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)