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Ponte Preta vs EC Juventude - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Mandaca In: MP
Out: Mandaca
27'
Messias
35'
Diego M. L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ponte Preta and EC Juventude finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Juventude.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ponte Preta
15%
Draws
64%
EC Juventude
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Juventude

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • EC Juventude carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans EC Juventude's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta EC Juventude
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 17
Draws 3 8
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 0.52 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.21 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs EC Juventude
0:2
Jun 14, 2026 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Ponte Preta
3:0
Nov 18, 2023 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Ponte Preta
0:0
Jul 19, 2023 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs EC Juventude
0:0
Dec 30, 2020 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Ponte Preta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

EC Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader MP
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 10 / 100
EC Juventude 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta EC Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Juventude Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Ponte Preta's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

EC Juventude let in goals in 35% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Ponte Preta stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS EC Juventude
0.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6

EC Juventude

(Away)
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 31 17 6 8 44:31 57
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 31 14 10 7 39:27 52
7 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
8 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
9 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 32:25 46
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 34:37 35
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 31 4 5 22 21:52 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)