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Ponte Preta vs Londrina

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Iago Teles
Assist: Bruno Santos
35'
Tarik
46'
Sub
David da Hora In: Miguel Morais
Out: David da Hora

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Ponte Preta and Londrina finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Londrina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ponte Preta
6%
Draws
90%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Londrina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Londrina come out ahead of Ponte Preta on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Londrina taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Londrina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Londrina
1:4
Oct 25, 2025 Serie C
Ponte Preta vs Londrina
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C
Londrina vs Ponte Preta
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C
Ponte Preta vs Londrina
1:0
Aug 25, 2023 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Londrina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel Morais
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Iago Teles
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 10 / 100
Londrina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Londrina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Londrina conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ponte Preta scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Londrina
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma18106222:1236
2EC Juventude1895419:832
3Operario-PR1895424:2032
4Vila Nova FC1894525:2131
5Fortaleza1894521:1731
6Novorizontino1886428:1730
7Goias1884620:2428
8Sao Bernardo1876524:1727
9Sport Recife1869323:1727
10Atletico GO1867519:1925
11Cuiaba1859414:1324
12Athletic Club1859416:1624
13CRB1865728:3223
14Nautico1863922:2321
15Botafogo SP1856720:1821
16Londrina1855825:2520
17Ceara1847716:2119
18Avai1845919:2517
19Ponte Preta18221412:358
20America MG18151212:298