Sport Picks
Ponte Preta vs Nautico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas 
Match Events
40'
40'
Brandao
Assist: David da Hora
44'
44'
Leo Indio
45'
45'
Borasi B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nautico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nautico lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Nautico Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponte Preta | Nautico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 22 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.54 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Nautico
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Ponte Preta
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C
Ponte Preta vs Nautico
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie C
Nautico vs Ponte Preta
0:1
May 24, 2025 Serie C
Nautico vs Ponte Preta
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponte Preta Compare
Top Goalscorer Brandao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Nautico Compare
Top Goalscorer Borasi B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponte Preta 30 / 100
Nautico 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponte Preta Nautico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Nautico conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Ponte Preta scored in 43% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Ponte Preta has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ponte Preta VS Nautico
0.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponte Preta
(Home) 07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 EC Juventude
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 EC Juventude
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Avai
14 Aug
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Nautico
Page 1 of 3
Nautico
(Away) 08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2 Novorizontino
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Nautico
26 Sept
Nautico
3 : 1 Sport Recife
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3 Operario-PR
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Nautico
22 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0 Nautico
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
23 Aug
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1 Nautico
14 Aug
Ponte Preta
1 : 1 Nautico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
