Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ponte Preta vs Nautico

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Brandao
Assist: David da Hora
44'
Leo Indio
45'
Borasi B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ponte Preta
35%
Draws
49%
Nautico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nautico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nautico lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 18%
Nautico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte Preta Nautico
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 3 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.71 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Nautico
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Ponte Preta
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C
Ponte Preta vs Nautico
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie C
Nautico vs Ponte Preta
0:1
May 24, 2025 Serie C
Nautico vs Ponte Preta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponte Preta Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Nautico Compare

Top Goalscorer Borasi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Preta 32 / 100
Nautico 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte Preta Nautico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nautico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nautico conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Ponte Preta scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Ponte Preta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ponte Preta VS Nautico
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponte Preta

(Home)
14 Aug
Ponte Preta
1 : 1
Nautico
07 Aug
Ceara
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
28 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 1
Athletic Club
22 Jul
Operario-PR
3 : 2
Ponte Preta
18 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Goias
Page 1 of 6

Nautico

(Away)
14 Aug
Ponte Preta
1 : 1
Nautico
09 Aug
Nautico
1 : 1
Atletico GO
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1
Londrina
16 Jul
CRB
2 : 1
Nautico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 23 12 8 3 25:15 44
2 EC Juventude 23 12 6 5 24:12 42
3 Vila Nova FC 23 12 4 7 35:25 40
4 Fortaleza 23 10 7 6 25:21 37
5 CRB 23 10 6 7 34:32 36
6 Operario-PR 23 10 5 8 30:31 35
7 Sport Recife 23 8 11 4 29:22 35
8 Novorizontino 22 9 7 6 32:20 34
9 Athletic Club 23 8 10 5 24:21 34
10 Atletico GO 23 8 9 6 24:23 33
11 Goias 23 9 5 9 22:28 32
12 Cuiaba 23 7 11 5 20:17 32
13 Sao Bernardo 23 8 7 8 32:26 31
14 Botafogo SP 23 8 7 8 28:23 31
15 Nautico 23 8 6 9 27:26 30
16 Avai 23 7 5 11 25:30 26
17 Ceara 23 6 7 10 23:29 25
18 Londrina 23 5 6 12 28:34 21
19 America MG 22 2 5 15 16:36 11
20 Ponte Preta 23 2 4 17 16:48 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)